24
Oct 11

AAM Weekly Market Wrap - October 24 2011

Weekly Market Wrap: Stocks continued to climb this week as
positive earnings news and continued easing of the Euro-debt concerns added to
market sentiment.  The S&P 500 index
gained 1.2% to close at 1,238.25.
Commodities were mixed on the week.
Oil gained 0.24% to close at $87.40 per barrel and gold dropped 2.44% to
$1,639.60 per oz.  The dollar dropped
0.56% against other major world currencies to close at $76.32.
Year-To-Date for the major indexes: The S&P index
-1.54%, The Dow Jones Index +2.00, The NASDAQ -0.58%, The Russell 2000 Small cap
Index -9.09%, EAFE International -11.43%.
The 10 year treasury is currently yielding 2.20% and the 30 year is
yielding 3.25%.  Yields are mixed for the
week and lower for the year.
On Monday the S&P 500 index dropped 24 points as Germany
made less than positive comments on the Euro-zone, industrial production was
in-line with estimates and New York manufacturing was up but less than
expected.
Tuesday the index surged 25 points on strength in financial
companies and US consumer sentiment moved higher.  On the negative side, economic data out of
Europe and China was weak and US producer prices moved higher.
Wednesday the market dropped 16 points as France and Germany
disagreed on a Euro-bailout and the Fed’s beige book pointed to a cooler US
economy.  On the positive side inflation
came in lower than expected and housing starts surprised to the up-side.
Thursday stocks added 6 points as the Fed Philly
manufacturing index moved into expansion territory, the leading economic
indicators showed a 5th straight monthly rise and a European summit
was delayed but news of a definitive agreement pushed stocks higher.  Also, weekly jobless claims were lower but
less than expected and existing home sales dropped.
Friday the market added 23 points on moderate volume as
positive earnings new and Euro-zone optimism pushed stocks higher.  As far this earnings season 70% of companies
have beat estimates on revenues and 72% have beat on earnings.  Corporate America is doing well and will
hopefully pull us out of the recent market doldrums.
Stocks rallied after a mid-week lull and fished higher for the 3rd
straight week.  US earnings and economic
data was mostly positive.  News out of
Europe turned positive by the end of the week as well.  Trading volume was mostly light but picked up
at the close of the week.  With continued
positive news this could signal another rally this week.
Mortgage rates were lower this week.  The Schwab Bank 15-year rate is now at 3.625%
and the 30-year rate is at 4.28%. These rates are as of 10/21/2011 and assume
no points, no origination fee and a $250,000 conforming rate mortgage.
What to watch for on the economic calendar next week:

Monday – No major releases
Tuesday – Consumer Confidence / Case Shiller Home Prices
Wednesday – Durable Goods Orders / New Home Sales
Thursday –Weekly Jobless Claims / Pending Home Sales / GDP
Friday – Personal Income and Outlays / Employments Costs / Consumer Sentiment
Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP®
Advanced Asset Management, LLC
October 24, 2011
20
Oct 11

Strategies for Building a Laddered Retirement Portfolio

Key Points
If the goal of saving for retirement is to provide financial security, then a
key objective of retirement portfolio management should be generating a stable
stream of income while preserving investment principal. Bond laddering is a
strategy that may address both aspects of that key objective.
What Is Laddering?
A bond ladder is a portfolio of bonds with maturity dates that are evenly
staggered so that a constant proportion of the bonds can be redeemed at par
value each year. By holding bonds to maturity rather than trying to buy and
sell them in the secondary market, investors may minimize the potential for
losses caused by interest rate volatility and market inefficiency. These losses
and transaction costs can be considerable.
Generally speaking, there are two broad types of bond ladders. One can be
implemented more or less perpetually for trusts, endowments, and other
applications with extended planning horizons. Another form of bond ladder can
be implemented for individuals whose personal financial plans might have a
definite end-point in mind. Both types of ladders can potentially play a role
in reducing some bond market risks.
Perpetual Bond Laddering
This bond laddering strategy is most useful for an investor who plans to
conserve investment capital indefinitely and whose need for cash flow is
predicable. A typical ladder might be constructed from Treasury bonds, with
one-tenth of the portfolio being redeemed and reinvested each year. As the
following chart shows, such a structure would have been significantly more
productive and less volatile over the past four decades than a strategy of
simply buying and rolling over short-term notes, such as three-month Treasury
bills. Keep in mind, however, that the long bond ladder is significantly less
liquid than a short bill portfolio. Virtually all of the assets in the short
portfolio can be liquidated at face value within three months. In contrast, only
10% of the long portfolio can be liquidated at face value in any given year;
the remaining 90% might be exposed to considerable market and interest rate
risk if it were sold in the secondary market rather than held to maturity.
Comparative Performance Over Various
Long-Term Horizons
10 years ended

December 31, 2010
25 years ended

December 31, 2010
40 years ended

December 31, 2010
Treasury bond ladder 3-month

T-bills

Treasury bond ladder 3-month

T-bills

Treasury bond ladder 3-month

T-bills

Average annual
income from a $100,000 laddered bond portfolio:
$5,217 $2,397 $7,398 $4,294 $7,470 $5,706
Compounded
annualized yield:
5.7% 2.4% 8.9% 4.9% 7.7% 6.8%
Sources: Standard
& Poor's; the Federal Reserve. Constant maturity yields are calculated by
the Federal Reserve each day for each Treasury security based on that day's
market trading. Annualized yield assumes that all payments from each security
is rolled over into a comparable issue at the then-current market rate. In
this hypothetical example, the entire content of the T-bill portfolio matures
and is reinvested four times per year, while one-tenth of the 10-year bond
ladder matures and is reinvested each year. Compounded annualized yield is
the internal rate of return for the investment calculated over the entire
period assuming the portfolio was liquidated at its fair market value on
December 31, 2010. While a United States Treasury bond returns 100% of
invested principal when held to maturity, the market value of a bond before
redemption fluctuates as market interest rates change. The cumulative market
value of the bonds in the laddered portfolio on December 31, 2009, was
estimated to be $106,522 based on then-prevailing market yields. Past
performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Laddering With a Fixed Term in Mind
Another type of bond ladder is one built to provide a steady cash flow for a
predetermined number of years. This can be done with a zero-coupon bond, a type
of bond that pays all of its interest in one lump sum at maturity. Generally
speaking, the further in the future that one expects to receive the redemption
value, the less one needs to spend today for the bond.
Here is how the principal of a fixed-term bond ladder can be applied to the
needs of a retirement investor. In this hypothetical example, the retirement
portfolio is worth $250,000 at retirement and the presumed withdrawal rate is
4% of assets per year, or $10,000. Based on the interest rates that prevailed
at the end of 2010, an investor could buy a series of 20 zero-coupon Treasury
bonds, one of which would become redeemable in each of the next 20 years. The
total discounted cost of those 20 bonds would be approximately $153,000. The
balance of the original $250,000 could be allocated to equities for growth
potential, creating a portfolio that still holds almost 40% equities. The core
income of $10,000 would be stable, and the value of the equity portfolio should
be available to help augment income as needed to compensate for inflation or
provide extra latitude for spending. Equity value could also be available to
extend the term of the plan if needed. Planning horizons of greater than 20
years can also be addressed at the outset, albeit at somewhat greater cost.
Note also that bonds in the ladder will have value during the course of the
plan, even though their value may be subject to fluctuations caused by interest
rate volatility.
Investment Needed to Create $10,000 per year
Term: Immediate total investment needed:
20 years $159,000
25 years $182,000
30 years $200,000
Source: Standard
& Poor's. Indicated costs assume the initial amounts are invested in
zero-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds maturing on the anniversary dates of the
investment and yielding the market rate for that maturity that prevailed on
December 31, 2010. Estimated investment needs for similar ladders created on
other dates will vary -- increasing as prevailing market yields fall and
decreasing as prevailing yields rise. This hypothetical example does not
account for potential custody expenses, transaction costs, or tax
liabilities, if any. The value of Treasury bonds can be assured only when
they are held to maturity and redeemed by the U.S. government. Until
redemption time, the market value of Treasury securities varies as prevailing
interest rates rise and fall. Past performance is not a guarantee of future
results.
Work With a Professional
An investment portfolio that has some of its assets allocated to bonds may
produce stronger cash flow with less volatility than a portfolio allocated
solely to equity investments such as common stock shares. As such, a bond ladder
offers investors a formula for allocating their fixed-income holdings to
potentially reduce the unique risks of bond holdings and to achieve the results
they seek from their bond investments. Your financial advisor can help you
determine whether bond laddering is an efficient solution for your needs.
The Language of Bonds
  • Par Value
    is the face value of the bond, i.e., the value the bond was assigned when
    the issuer created it.
  • Market value
    is the price for which a bond can be bought or sold at any give time after
    it is issued and before it is redeemed in the process known as secondary
    market trading. The prices of bonds in the secondary market depend on the
    overall level of interest rates. Prices of existing bonds rise when the
    general level of interest rates falls, and prices fall when the general
    level of interest rates rises. Individual bond prices can rise relative to
    their peers in the secondary market if the creditworthiness of the
    borrower improves, or they can lose ground relatively if the creditworthiness
    of the borrower deteriorates.
  • Redemption value
    is the amount of money that the issuer will return to the investor on the
    specified maturity date. Redemption value is generally not affected by
    changes in the secondary market price.
  • Maturity date
    is the date set for repayment of the bond's principal; it is normally
    established at the time the bond is issued. A conventional bond
    is issued for a fixed period. A callable
    bond
    can be redeemed at the initiative of the issuer
    whenever the call conditions specified in the bond are met. A putable bond
    can be redeemed at the initiative of the investor whenever the specified
    put conditions are met. A convertible
    bond
    is one that can be exchanged for common stock at
    specified times.
  • Coupon value
    is the cash amount of the interest payment made to the investor each year.
    In most cases, the coupon value never changes throughout the life of the
    bond, regardless of any changes in secondary market value of the bond.
  • Coupon yield
    is the value of the interest payment given to the investor each year
    expressed as a percentage of the original par value of the bond. This
    figure does not change during the life of the bond.
  • Current yield
    is the value of a bond's interest payment expressed as a percentage of its
    current trading price in the secondary market. Current yield is actually
    the primary basis for defining a bond's trading price in the secondary
    market because current yields on existing bonds need to maintain their
    relationships with market averages. To keep yields synchronized with the
    market, trading prices are adjusted. Lowering a bond's price has the
    effect of increasing its current yield because the coupon payment would be
    divided into a smaller market value. Increasing a bond's price has the
    effect of lowering the current yield because the coupon payment would be
    divided into a larger market value.
Points to Remember
  1. A bond ladder is a portfolio of bonds whose
    maturity dates are evenly staggered so that a constant proportion of the bonds
    can be redeemed at par value each year. As a portfolio management strategy,
    bond laddering may help you maintain a relatively consistent stream of income
    while managing your exposure to potential losses caused by interest rate
    volatility and market inefficiency.
  2. A perpetual bond ladder may be most useful for
    a trust or endowment. It can conserve investment capital indefinitely and
    provide continuously predictable cash flow.
  3. A fixed-term bond ladder will provide a steady
    cash flow for a predetermined number of years. It can be expanded as the
    planning horizon changes or it can be allowed to expire when its last bond
    matures.
  4. A bond ladder can be liquidated if needs or
    circumstances change, but the process of selling bonds prior to maturity can
    introduce added elements of instability and cost, as the value of the bonds may
    not equal their face value.
Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error by
McGraw-Hill Financial Communications or its sources, neither McGraw-Hill
Financial Communications nor its sources guarantees the accuracy, adequacy,
completeness or availability of any information and is not responsible for any
errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such
information. In no event shall McGraw-Hill Financial Communications be liable
for any indirect, special or consequential damages in connection with
subscriber's or others' use of the content.
###
© 2011 McGraw-Hill
Financial Communications. All rights reserved.
September 2011 — This column is provided through the
Financial Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial
planning community, and is brought to you by Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP® , a
local member of FPA.
18
Oct 11

Washington Hotline - October - Week 3 - 2011

Both Parties Lobby Supercommittee Members
As the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction continues its closed-door deliberations, both Democratic and Republican Members of Congress continue to advocate specific tax positions.  The Supercommittee is tasked with finding a deficit solution of at least $1.2 trillion and hopefully $1.5 trillion.  The November 23 deadline is rapidly approaching with the committee still seeking to find compromise solutions that reduce the deficit.

On October 13 the Democratic members of the House Ways and Means Committee sent a letter to Joint Select Committee Co-Chairs Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) and Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA).  The Democratic members stated, "Ultimately, the Joint Select Committee and the Congress must take a balanced approach if we are to truly address our deficit and debt."

Democratic members note that federal receipts for the past three years have been "about 15% of the economy."  This is the lowest level in the past six decades.  In their view, the deficit reduction plan cannot be solved "through spending cuts alone."  They further observe that President Obama has published specific tax revenue proposals to assist the Joint Select Committee in their task.

The three principles that should govern revenue increases in their view are "job creation, fairness and fiscal responsibility."

On October 13, most of the Republican members of the Senate Finance Committee released their proposal.  They suggest that there be a revenue-neutral comprehensive tax reform.  Individual tax rates would be reduced to three brackets and a substantial exemption.  The top individual and corporate rates would both be 25%.

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) stated, "We need to create a simplified tax system to keep money in the hands of consumers."

Editor's Note: As the Joint Select Committee continues to seek to create a compromise acceptable to at least seven of the 12 members, it is probable that both parties and the White House will continue to advocate their respective solutions.  Given the substantial potential reductions for the Department of Defense and Medicare if the Supercommittee cannot craft an agreement, it still seems probable that there will be a bipartisan compromise by the November 23 deadline.

Protective Claims for Estate Tax Refunds

In Rev. Proc. 2011-48; 2011-42 IRB 527(17 Oct 2011), the IRS published guidance on the filing and recovery of estate taxes if there is a protective claim for an estate tax refund.

In T.D. 9468 (October 2009), the IRS published final regulations on protective estate refund claims.  The amount of an estate claim or expense will be deductible only when it is actually paid.  Amounts that are potentially payable and therefore could qualify for a Sec. 2053 deduction must be the subject of a protective claim for refund.

Rev. Proc. 2011-48 sets forth specific requirements for filing the protective claim and subsequently receiving a refund.

First, the claim must be filed within the appropriate period of limitation under Sec. 6511(a).  If the claim is filed during that time, it then must identify the claim or expense and describe in reasonable detail the reasons and contingencies surrounding the claim.

After the contingencies are resolved and the claim is paid, then Reg. 20-2053-1(d)(5)(i) requires the estate fiduciary to give notice to the IRS.

Under the Rev. Proc., the specific filing requirement is "facts sufficient to apprise the Commissioner of the exact basis of the claim."  The fiduciary who files the Form 706 is the individual who is required to file Schedule PC or Form 843.  Each claim must be separately listed and described.  The claim when paid may include related ancillary expenses such as attorneys' fees, court costs, appraisal fees and accounting fees.

If the IRS determines that the filing has failed to meet "preliminary procedural requirements for a valid claim," it may reject the claim.  However, the timely filed protective claim may give the fiduciary an opportunity to cure a defective claim based on reasonable substantiation.

The revenue procedure specifies that the IRS may be notified of the resolution of a claim by filing a supplemental and signed Form 706.  Rev. Proc. 2011-48 applies to protective claims filed for estates of individuals passing away on or after October 20, 2009.

Charitable Deductions for Unreimbursed Expenditures

In Twana L. Bradley v. Commissioner; T.C. Summ. Op. 2011-120; No. 3564-10S (11 Oct 2011), the Tax Court permitted some unreimbursed charitable deductions and denied other expenditures.

Ms. Bradley was a volunteer cheerleading coach for a youth football and cheerleading league that was initially identified as the Muhammad Ali Youth Football and Cheerleaders League.  Subsequently it appeared that the proper organization name was the Muhammad Ali Yellowjackets.  Bradley was a volunteer cheerleading coach and her ex-husband coached the youth football team.  They expended various amounts for a bus rental, pizzas, party supplies and auto trips to support the team.

Following an IRS audit, the Tax Court reviewed the various unreimbursed deductions.  The Court noted that a deductible amount must be "to a qualified entity organized and operated exclusively for an exempt purpose, no part of the net earnings of which inures to the benefit of any private individual."  Sec. 170(c)(2).

While the initial organization was not identified as tax exempt in IRS Publication 78, the organization known as the Yellowjackets Cheerleaders was a qualified charity.  Therefore, the Court determined that the gifts could be potentially deductible.

The contribution for $660 for a charter bus rental is deductible under Reg. 1.170A-13(a) if there are adequate records.  In addition, because the gift was over $250, Sec. 170(f)(8)(A) requires a contemporaneous written acknowledgement by the charity.

While the substantiation for $660 did show the date and amount of the gift, there was no written acknowledgement from Yellowjackets Cheerleaders.  Therefore, that deduction was denied.

Contributions for the party supplies are subject to Reg. 1.170A-13(a) requirements that they be substantiated by a cancelled check, a receipt from the donee organization or "other reliable written records."  Because Bradley did not have a cancelled check or receipt, she offered the payment receipts for the various amounts.  These included the names of the payees, the dates of the payments and the amounts of the payments.  The Court determined that this information met the "reliable written record" standard and qualified for deduction.

Finally, the taxpayer and her ex-husband had traveled four times per week to the practices.  Based on mapquest.com records, she claimed 1,857.6 miles were driven to support the team practices and games.

The Court noted that Reg. 1.170A-13(a)(2) allowed vehicle deductions to be supported by "reliable written records."  The Mapquest mileage and record of practices and games was deemed sufficient to support the 14 cents per mile charitable deduction.

Applicable Federal Rate of 1.4% for October – Rev. Rul. 2011-22; 2011-41 IRB 1 (18 Sept. 2011)

The IRS has announced the Applicable Federal Rate (AFR) for October of 2011.  The AFR under Sec. 7520 for the month of October will be 1.4%.  The rates for September of 2.0% or August of 2.2% also may be used.  The highest AFR is beneficial for charitable deductions of remainder interests.  The lowest AFR is best for lead trusts and life estate reserved agreements.  With a gift annuity, if the annuitant desires greater tax-free payments the lowest AFR is preferable.  During 2011, pooled income funds in existence less than three tax years must use a 2.8% deemed rate of return. Federal rates are available by clicking here.