31
Jan 12

Washington Hotline - January - Week 5 - 2012

White House Tax Proposals
In the State of the Union Address, President Obama included several tax proposals.  He stated his hope that high-income earners pay larger taxes in the future.  The President also proposed a substantial number of major tax changes for businesses with international operations.

He restated the "Buffet rule" that asks high income individuals to pay at least as high a rate as that paid by middle-income earners.  The President noted, "Right now, because of loopholes and shelters in the Tax Code, a quarter of all millionaires pay lower tax rates than millions of middle-class households."

The White House proposes that those with incomes over $1 million pay a minimum tax rate of 30%.  Taxpayers with incomes over $1 million also will have new limits on deductions for mortgage interest, healthcare expenses, qualified retirement plan contributions and childcare.

Many of the proposals for businesses were outlined in a White House press release on January 25.  These major changes are designed to encourage U.S. companies to maintain their U.S. operations and increase employment here rather than overseas.

1. Overseas Plants – There would not be deductions for moving plants overseas.  In addition, there would be a 20% tax credit against the cost of moving jobs from overseas back to the United States.
2. Manufacturing – Those manufacturers who purchase equipment would be able to expense 100% of those purchases.  This option also existed in prior years and is expected to encourage building factories in the U.S. rather than abroad.
3. Major Job Losses – Areas that have experienced a closing of a military base or a major factory could qualify for a new investment credit of up to $2 billion.  This credit creates incentives for building new plants or factories in depressed areas.
4. Minimum Tax – Corporations could be subject to a new minimum tax on their overseas jobs and profits.

Congress Responds to the White House

Following the State of the Union Address, members of both parties responded to the proposals by President Obama.  Understandably, the Democratic Members tended to support his proposals while the Republican Members chose a different route.

Ways and Means Ranking Member Sander Levin (D-MI) supported the President's incentives for manufacturing.  With an understandable desire to encourage greater manufacturing in his home state of Michigan, Levin stated, "The President articulated an action plan that sets our priorities in the right place – middle-class opportunity, tax fairness and a 'Make it in America' manufacturing policy."

Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA) focused on the proposal to raise taxes on capital gains and dividends.  He noted, "But as we begin to move forward and restore economic fairness, we need to fix the tax formula for capital gains and dividends which are passive income.  The rate on capital gains is as low as it's been in a very, very long time."  He continued that it is essential "to raise revenues in order to fix our economic situation" and restated his desire to increase the capital gain and dividend rate above the current 15%.  In prior years, the capital gains rate has been 20% or even higher.

Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) is the Ranking Member of the Senate Finance Committee.  He expressed concern that the proposals by the President would "hit small business" and reduce the number of new jobs.  Hatch stated, "Real effective tax reform is long-past due and is something both political parties agree must happen.  We must reform our tax code in a way that generates economic growth and prosperity by generating more taxpayers - not higher taxes."

House Ways and Means Committee Chair Dave Camp (R-MI) also echoed the importance of reducing unemployment through job creation.  He noted, "Instead of focusing on tax reform that can create jobs, the President spent his time talking about how he intends to take more money away from employers, investors and savers in order to create new carve-outs for the few industries and projects favored by his administration.  That is nothing more than the usual Washington game that has led to a tax code already littered with lobbyist loopholes."

Payroll Tax Cut Debate Continues

The Payroll Tax Cut Conference Committee held its first meeting on January 24.  Sen. Max Baucus supported both the extension of the payroll cut and an inclusion of tax extenders such as the IRA Charitable Rollover in the bill.  He indicated, "In December, along with the payroll tax cut, Congress passed a two-month extension of unemployment insurance, health extenders and a provision to make sure seniors have access to their doctors.  And we have an opportunity to extend other provisions that expired at the end of 2011, commonly known as tax extenders."

However, Ways and Means Committee Chair Dave Camp (R-MI) suggested that he did not feel the tax extenders could be included.  He noted that the extenders were not included in the original bill, H.R. 3630.  As a result, he stated that including the tax extenders in a payroll tax bill would be "outside the scope of the conference."

The contentious debate will be over the method of paying for the 10-month extension of the 2% payroll tax cut for employees.  The Democratic proposal continues to be a surtax on incomes over $1 million.

The Republican Conference Committee members offer a multiple strategy solution.  This includes a reform of the unemployment program, freezing the pay of members of Congress and federal workers, reductions in Social Security overpayments and reduced tax fraud on various tax credits.

Editor's Note: Friends of many charities continue to hope that the IRA Charitable Rollover will be extended for the year 2012.  While members of Congress anticipate the tax extenders will be passed, Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has stated that if the tax extenders (and IRA Charitable Rollover) are not attached to the payroll tax cut bill, it is not likely they will be passed until after the November election.

Applicable Federal Rate of 1.4% for February – Rev. Rul. 2012-7; 2012-6 IRB 1 (19 Jan. 2012)

The IRS has announced the Applicable Federal Rate (AFR) for February of 2012.  The AFR under Sec. 7520 for the month of February will be 1.4%.  The rates for January of 1.4% or December of 1.6% also may be used.  The highest AFR is beneficial for charitable deductions of remainder interests.  The lowest AFR is best for lead trusts and life estate reserved agreements.  With a gift annuity, if the annuitant desires greater tax-free payments the lowest AFR is preferable.  During 2012, pooled income funds in existence less than three tax years must use a 1.8% deemed rate of return. Federal rates are available by clicking here.
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Jan 12

AAM Weekly Market Wrap - January 30 2012

Weekly Market Wrap: Stocks continued to move upward in 2012 and
extended its weekly winning streak to 4 weeks.
The S&P 500 index eked out a 0.07% gain to end the week at
$1,316.  Oil and Gold moved higher as
well.  Oil ended up 1.12% to close at
$99.56 and Gold surged adding 4.40% to $1,739.40.  The dollar was lower against other major
world currencies dropping 2.82% to $78.86.

Year-To-Date for the major indexes:

  • The S&P index +4.67%
  • The Dow Jones Index +3.63
  • The NASDAQ Index +8.11%
  • The Russell 2000 Small cap Index +7.82
  • EAFE International Index +5.88%
  • The 10 year treasury is currently yielding 1.90%
    and the 30 year is yielding 3.06%.  Yields
    dropped for the week and have moved higher on the year.

 

Monday the S&P 500 index added less than a point as
Greece continued debt negotiations and no major economic news came out of the
US.

Tuesday the market dropped 2 points on moderate volume as
mid-Atlantic regional manufacturing beat expectations and Greece debt talks hit
a snag.

Wednesday stocks added 12 points on moderate volume as the
Fed announced that it is likely to keep rates low through 2014 and targeted an
inflation rate of 2% as part of monetary policy.  Also, US pending home sales and mortgage
applications missed expectations and Apple blew through earnings expectations
and raised future guidance giving markets a boost of confidence.

Thursday stocks dropped 7 points on moderate volume as
durable goods orders beat expectations but new home sales, jobless claims
missed and leading economic indicators rose less than expected.

Friday stocks dropped another 2 points on moderate volume as
4th Quarter GDP rose from the previous quarter but less than
expected at 2.8%.  3rd Quarter
GDP was 1.8%.

 

 

Europe continued to move the markets this week as Greece was back
in focus while they negotiate with their creditors to determine at what rate
they will pay back the debts they still owe.
Negotiations are hitting snags on the amount needed to keep creditors
satisfied.

In the US slow progress continues despite numbers not quite
hitting expectations, they continue to improve.

Mortgage rates moved modestly higher this week.  The Schwab Bank 15-year rate is now at 3.47%
and the 30-year rate is at 4.25%. These rates are as of 01/27/2012 and assume
no points, no origination fee and a $250,000 conforming rate mortgage.

 

What to watch for on the economic calendar next week:

Monday – Personal Income and Outlays

Tuesday – Consumer Confidence / S&P Case Shiller Home Prices / Chicago PMI

Wednesday – ISM Manufacturing / ADP Employment / Motor Vehicle Sales /
Construction Spending

Thursday – Weekly Jobless Claims / Productivity and Costs

Friday – Employment Situation / Factory Orders / ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

 

 

Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP®

Advanced Asset Management, LLC

January 30, 2012

 

 

26
Jan 12

Harnessing Risk in Any Market

If you're an outdoor enthusiast, at some point or another
you've probably contemplated what you might do should you encounter a bear or
other wild animal. Wildlife experts typically recommend these tips: Stay calm
and don't run. Investors might also do well to heed that advice when traversing
the stock market.

Plan ahead -- Rather
than fret about which way the market is headed this week or even this month, do
what 87% of millionaires do to reduce worries -- be proactive and develop a
plan.1 A sound financial plan can keep you focused on your long-term financial
objectives and keep you from getting caught up in the doldrums of a short-term
market downturn or the hype of the latest hot sector.

Hold on -- A
buy-and-hold investing strategy can also help keep you from being distracted by
short-term market performance. It can also potentially help reduce the risk of
loss over time.

Maintain realistic
expectations --
Consider that since 1926, the average total annual return
of the S&P 500 has been 9.9%.2 Maintaining realistic return expectations
can make it easier to cope with short-term market downturns.

Make diversification
your ally --
Different types of investments lead the market at different
times. By holding a well-diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds, for
example, you may increase the possibility that those securities that increase
in value could offset those that decrease.

Try dollar cost
averaging --
Think about adding to your investments on a monthly basis as
opposed to purchasing or selling securities based on anticipated market changes
(called market timing).3 This disciplined strategy can take the emotion and
guesswork out of investing. It might also save you money. By regularly
investing in a mutual fund, for example, you buy fewer shares when prices are
high and more shares when prices are low. Over the long term, the average cost
that you pay for the shares may be less than the average price.

Seek expert advice -- Meet with a qualified financial advisor
regularly. In particular, you may want to get into the habit of beginning every
year with a comprehensive portfolio review.

Source/Disclaimer:

1 Source: The Millionaire Mind, Thomas J. Stanley.

2Source: Standard & Poor's, 2011.

###

January 2012 — This column is provided through the Financial
Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial planning
community, and is brought to you by Ronald J VanSurksum, CFP®, a local member
of FPA.

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