October 2020 AAM Newsletter
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If you are a client of mine, thank you for your continued business and please update me on any changes in your situation do that I can make the appropriate changes to your financial plan and investments.
If you are not a client please consider giving me a call or emailing me if you would like to begin a plan to get you to your financial goals. I consider myself different from many of the advisors out there for the following reasons:
1) You will not be pressured to purchase any products because I am a fee-only advisor and a NAPFA® Member (no commission sales)
2) You will have a comprehensive financial plan completed by a Certified Financial Planner ™ Practitioner or CFP® – I have committed to financial planning and continuing education.
3) You will have a reasonable fee for the services performed. I charge less than the typical large financial planning firm by being a small shop and keeping my business expenses low.
Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP®
Please see below for financial articles and tips
Stocks gave back some gains in September as the economic rebound slowed, additional government stimulus is in doubt, and Coronavirus cases remained persistent.
Index performance Sept 2020____ YTD 2020_
- The S&P index -3.92% +4.09%
- Dow Jones industrial 30 -2.28% -2.65%
- The NASDAQ Index -5.16% +24.46%
- The Russell 2000 Small cap -3.47% -9.64%
- EAFE International Index -2.00% -8.34%
- The US Dollar +1.83% -2.78%
- Oil -5.61% -34.13%
- Gold -4.16% +24.31%
- 10-Year Treasury Yield 0.69% 1.91% on 12/31/2019
- 30-Year Treasury Yield 1.46% 2.36% on 12/31/2019
Volatility was fairly high in September for the S&P 500 index. The index began at 3,500 rose to a high of 3,581 on 9/2 then fell to a low of 3,237 on 9/23 before finishing at 3,348 to end of the month for a difference of 344 points or about 9.6% from low to high.
Technology and growth stocks led the pullback lower as those stocks that have rallied the most from the March lows were sold off while value and international stocks held up a little bit better.
Gold and oil were lower while the US dollar rallied and US Treasuries were flat.
This could be the beginnings of the rotation from growth into value stocks. We remain diversified to take advantage of whatever the markets bring us.
Markets will probably be volatile over the next month or two as we get through the elections. No matter which party wins life will go on and markets should settle down by year end and re-focus back on the economy. I recommend that all clients continue to maintain a long-term focus on their investments.
Please contact me if you have questions or simply just wish to talk. I am back in the office doing in-person meetings and I will still do meetings over the phone or computer if you are more comfortable with that.
Recent US Economic Data
US Manufacturing –ISM manufacturing fell and missed expectations.
Jobs – The September payroll report added a better than expected 877 thousand jobs, unemployment fell to 7.9% which was lower than expected while average hourly earnings rose 0.1% but missed expectations.
Housing Prices –FHFA home prices rose while Shiller home prices rose and matched expectations.
Housing starts – Both housing starts and building permits fell and missed estimates.
Existing home sales – Rose and matched estimates.
GDP – 2Q GDP final estimate came in at -31.4% and was slightly better than expected.
Retail Sales – Rose but missed estimates.
Leading indicators – Rose a little less than expected.
Durable goods orders – Rose but missed estimates.
Inflation data was moderately higher – producer prices rose and matched, consumer prices rose more than expected, import prices and export prices both rose while PCE prices rose and matched estimates.
For weekly market updates please visit my blog at www.aamllc.com
Mortgage rates were flat over the last month. The national average on mortgage as per Bloomberg.com shows the 15-year rate is now at 2.56% and the 30-year rate is at 3.05%. These rates are as of 10/09/2020 and may include points.
CD rates were also flat over the last month. Charles Schwab has access to CD’s from banks all over the country. Here are some of the current CD rates offered.
6 mo CD @ 0.05% 1-Yr CD @ 0.15%
2-Yr CD @ 0.15% 5-Yr CD @ 0.45%
Tips and Suggestions
The next quarterly estimated tax payments are due 01/15/2021 for the 4th quarter of 2020.
It is Medicare open enrollment time beginning 10/15 to 12/7. This is when you can change your plan for 2021. Consider contacting your insurance agent to determine if your current plan is still the best one for you especially if your circumstances have changed.
If you have a child attending college next fall it is FAFSA time once again beginning 10/1. The sooner you fill out your FAFSA the better chance you have for financial aid.
Time to check your retirement contributions. Develop a cash flow plan to maximize your health savings account, 401k, 457, 403b or IRA contributions for 2020.
Retirees do not have to take their required minimum distributions in 2020 due to Covid tax changes. Now is a good time to review your tax plan to decide what makes the most sense for you.
It is time to plan for 2021! What would you like to accomplish next year? How much to you want to save and home much do you need to save to reach your financial goals?
Is your estate plan up-to-date? This is a good time to review your estate plan and update your beneficiary designations.
Do you have children age 18 years or older? You may want to plan for an emergency by obtaining HIPPA authorizations or power-of-attorney so that you can get health information, if needed.
ABLE accounts are now available in the State of Michigan. ABLE accounts are for certain individuals with disabilities to accumulate funds for their long-term needs without disqualifying themselves for Medicaid. Check it out at www.miable.org or give me a call.
When is the last time you reviewed your insurance plan? Is your disability income keeping up with your income? Do you have any term life insurance policies expiring soon? Do you need additional coverage or less coverage? Let’s discuss.
Are you on track to meet your financial goals? Do you have a plan to get you where you want to be? If you do not you may not reach your goals. Let’s make a plan to Maximize your financial potential.
Do you need a debt payoff plan? Let’s work on one together.
Need help with your 401k? I am now using GoToMeeting.com to allow me to help review your 401k online and help you rebalance. We can access the plan together online, I can give you control to log in and then we can discuss and make changes together. Let me know if you want to discuss!
Are your cash reserves earning less than 1%? Consider a short-term US treasury fund, municipal bond fund or corporate bond fund to give your secondary cash reserves a yield boost.
If you have any questions or if you would like to have help with your financial plan please give me – your Fee-only Certified Financial Planning ™ Practitioner – a call.
Work on Your Financial Plan:
View Your Schwab Accounts: www.schwab.com
Check your risk tolerance:
All articles are now found on my website blog: www.aamllc.com
Social Security Tips – September 2020
Covid-19 Could Be (and should be) A Wake Up Call
Too Much Debt Puts A Lid on Net Worth for Millennials
Coping with College During Covid-19
Build Savings Plan into a 0 Sum Budget
Get Ahead, Save More $$’s with Zero Sum Budgeting
Post Pandemic – Maintain Good Saving Habits
2020 Mandatory Retirement Account Withdraws Suspended
Know Your Current College Aid Options
Contact MeDo you want more information on how I can help you? Give me a call or drop me an email to review or set up a free initial consultation.